Opinion: Finally, CDC Starts to Get Covid Right

After two years of refusing to consider testing as an effective way to curb the spread of Covid, the anti-alcohol Centers for Disease Control & Prevention got around to saying that school children could be in a classroom as long as they tested negative for Covid.

This moment of clarity might be catching at CDC’s Atlanta headquarters.  The Associated Press quoted Dr. Anthony Fauci, the White House’s top medical advisor, as saying the CDC is “considering including the negative test as part of its guidance after getting significant “pushback” on its updated recommendations which shortened the isolation requirements for people infected with Covid to five days from 10.

The publicly stated intention is to avoid the sort of lockdowns that wrecked the on-premise food and beverage business last year.

Unfortunately, no one from President Biden on down appears to have asked a fundamental question:  Why were there more Covid cases and deaths during President Biden’s first year in office than there were in former President Trump’s final year.  And why were officials surprised by the surge in cases and didn’t seem to know where the virus would strike next?

The answers to those questions is simple: Covid is not the flu.  Covid is spread by people with no visible signs of the disease.  Ergo, if you want to control the spread, you have to test people with no visible signs of the disease.

But until the last few days, the Biden Administration has only chanted the magical incantation, “vaccinate, vaccinate, vaccinate.”  The Covid vaccines have varying amounts of effectiveness, depending upon maker, how long a person has been vaccinated, etc. — and are totally ineffective in preventing the disease in the 22% of the population who have not had even one shot.

We’re encouraged that CDC has finally awakened, at least slightly, to the value of testing asymptomatic people.  But it’s a dollar short and a day too late: In the last 30 days there has been 820,255 deaths from Covid and 53,795,407 total cases.

Both Trump and Biden failed in protecting America from Covid.  Biden’s failure was worse.

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Who and What —

BeerBoard hires James Hirmas as vp-research and development. He co-founded JHC Technology, which was sold to Effectual in 2019 where he was a senior vp.

Busker Irish Whiskey (Disaronno) names Caroline Martin as its new Master Blender at Royal Oak Distillery, succeeding John Ramsey, who will oversee the brand’s quality and innovation efforts.

 

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What We’re Reading —

Covid Brings America’s Beer-vs.-Liquor Rivalry to a Head

Brewers struggle to retain a dwindling edge, as spirits makers campaign to grab market share using canned cocktails to burnish their product’s reputation and lower taxes on it. (Wall Street Journal).

Wine’s Most Inspiring People: Ali Smith Story—Owner, Smith Story Wine Cellars

Ali Smith and Eric Story launched Smith Story Wine Cellars with a Kickstarter campaign.  “It allowed us to tell our story from the very beginning the way we’re still telling it,” she says.

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Non-al Spirits Grew 200% in Share, 290% in Sales, Drizly Says

Of the top 10 non-alcoholic SKUs on Drizly, four are modeled after gin, and Ceder’s Drinks  — the only new entrant to the top five list of non-alcoholic brands on Drizly — is entirely focused on producing non-alcoholic gins. Whiskey alternatives are also popular, in addition to substitutions for aperitifs that work in spritzes, like Aperol.

“The mocktail trend is one key driver of this trend, as consumers seek to recreate their favorite drinks that are alcohol-free and more health-conscious,” says Liz Paquette, Drizly’s head of consumer insights. “Innovation in this category has also driven growth as new product releases more closely align to the quality and taste of standard spirits offerings.”

While it’s easy to assume that non-alcoholic spirits offer less value to retailers when it comes to cash flow, the average price per unit of non-alcoholic spirits ($28.60) is actually slightly higher than the average price of liquor overall ($28.10), indicating that customers are willing and happy to pay a premium for this category.

The gender split for non-alcoholic spirits drinkers is pretty even. Fifty-two percent share of Drizly shoppers in this category in 2021 to date are female and the majority — 69% of share — are millennials. Gen X accounts for 22% share and the trend hasn’t yet caught on much with Gen Z or baby boomers, together accounting for just eight percent share of non-alcoholic sales in 2021.

Retailers in Denver, Los Angeles, Chicago, San Francisco, and Washington, D.C. especially should keep an eye on this trend as these markets over-index on non-alcoholic spirits sales compared to overall sales on Drizly.

The category is primed to get off to a hot start in 2022 thanks to the dry January trend, Drizly says, adding that the time is now for retailers to stock up on non-alcoholic spirits, starting with the five brands on Drizly that are leading the way in this burgeoning category.

“In 2021, the peak share for non-alcoholic spirits through the year was in January, suggesting that dry January will drive strong sales for this category,” says Paquette.

Seedlip — Launched in 2015, Seedlip is a pioneer of the non-alcoholic spirits movement and also held the top spot on this list last year. Its SKUs also make up the top three non-alcoholic spirits SKUs on Drizly in 2021 to date. Relying on natural ingredients, Seedlip is led by Grove 42 (a citrus blend of orange, lemon peel, lemongrass, and ginger), Garden 108 (a blend of peas and garden herbs), and Spice 94 (a blend of allspice and cardamom). The brand has even published its own non-alcoholic cocktail book.

Ritual Zero Proof — This Chicago-based brand launched in 2019 and uses all-natural botanicals in its liquor replacement products. In 2021, Ritual Zero Proof replaced Lyre’s as the No. 2 best-selling non-alcoholic spirits brand on Drizly, three SKUs in the category’s top six. The best-selling Ritual Zero Proof SKUs are the Gin Alternative, Tequila Alternative, and Whiskey Alternative spirits, though they also make a Rum Alternative.

Lyre’s — An Australian company founded in 2019, Lyre’s is led by the Dry London Spirit (modeled after a classic gin) and American Malt (modeled after a classic Bourbon malt), but the brand offers one of the widest product ranges in the non-alcoholic space, including alternatives to absinthe, tequila, Aperol, and even sparkling wine.

Dhos — This is the only brand on Drizly’s top five list that was born out of a traditional distillery setting. Based in Oregon, the team at Random Distillery created Dhos, a line of non-alcoholic spirits made from organic ingredients, in late 2020. The brand’s top seller on Drizly is Dhos Gin Free (which is sugar-free and zero calories), followed by Bittersweet, a low-calorie aperitif. Dhos also produces Orange, a sugar-free, low-cal triple sec replacement.

Ceder’s Drinks — Ceder’s is new to the top five list for non-alcoholic spirits brands, knocking off Spirity Cocktails, which held the No. 5 spot in 2020. The South Africa-based brand founded in 2017 specializes in non-alcoholic gin botanicals and produces four flavors. Ceders’ best-selling product on Drizly is the Wild Non-Alcoholic Gin with notes of juniper, spice, and rooibos.

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Reyes Beer Unit to Rep Three Notch’d Brewing

Premium Distributors of Virginia, a Reyes Beer Division unit, was named distributor for Three Notch’d Brewing Co., Charlottesville, Va.

The appointment adds more than 100,000 cases and includes popular Three Notch’d products including Minute Man IPA, 40 Mile IPA, the Nephology Juicy IPA Series and King of Clouds NEIPA, as well as  year-round offerings such as the Gose Series, Hydraulion Red and Local Lager.

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Champagne Collet Releases Limited-Edition Commemorative Bottling “Cuvée n°21” to Mark 100 Years

Champagne Collet, established in 1921 as part of the oldest Champagne cooperative in the Grand Cru village of Aÿ, has produced a limited-release, commemorative bottling called “Cuvée n°21” in a nod to 19(21).

A blend of 21 of the Champagne House’s best years dating back to 1961 offered at $175 SRP. Aged for 7 years in Collet’s century-old chalk cellars, the wine is sourced from Grand and Premier cru vineyards that reflect the diversity of the champagne region’s terroirs.

This spirit of the “Roaring Twenties” lives on at Maison Collet today and is reflected in its rich heritage and its elegant, Art Deco-inspired visual identity. The elegant transparency of the Champagne Collet labels gives the brand a contemporary feel and is an expression of the brand’s sincerity and taste for innovation. This design universe has been applied to all the Champagne House’s creations, from the champagnes’ packaging, gift boxes and cases, to the decor of Villa Collet. Old Bridge Cellars is the importer.

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