Diageo Sees Organic Sales Jumping 16% is Fiscal 1st Half, Growth of 5%-7% from Fiscal 2023 to 2025

Diageo plc said it expects organic sales to jump 16% in the fiscal first half of 2022 and to advance 5% to 7% for fiscal 2023-2025.  And it said it has a desire to achieve a 50% increase — to 6% from 4% –in total beverage alcohol market share by 2030.  Following the announcement the company’s shares rose to a record, $206.61, a 0.49% gain.

The projections were issued an advance of the company’s capital markets day.

“Our culture of everyday efficiency is embedded in our business and we continue to challenge ourselves to achieve more,” said Ivan Meneses, chief executive officer. In fiscal 21, despite the challenges created by Covid-19, we delivered strong organic net sales growth, drove an improvement in organic operating margin and delivered strong cash flows, while continuing to invest in long-term sustainable growth.

“We believe our sales growth trajectory has accelerated, underpinned by the strength of our advantaged position across geographies, categories and price tiers. TBA is a large, growing and attractive sector of which Diageo currently has a 4% value share. With continued investment in marketing, digital capabilities and our people, we have significant headroom for growth. This gives us the confidence that we can grow Diageo’s value share of TBA from 4% in 2020,1 to 6% by 2030,” he added.

Lavanya Chandrashekar, Chief Financial Officer, Diageo:

“Our focus on everyday efficiency enables us to continue to increase investment in our brands and strategic growth initiatives, while underpinning organic operating margin improvement.

This self-sustaining growth model gives us confidence that we can accelerate our organic net sales  growth within a range of 5% to 7% for fiscal 23 to fiscal 25. This compares to growth of 4% to 6% in fiscal 2017 to fiscal 2019. While we expect inflationary pressures to increase, we also expect to benefit from operating leverage, premiumisation, revenue growth management and productivity gains. As a result, we expect organic operating profit to grow sustainably in a range of 6% to 9% for fiscal 23 to fiscal 25.

As we announced in our AGM statement, we have made a strong start to fiscal 22. We are delivering organic net sales growth across all regions, as we benefit from resilience in the off-trade and continued recovery in the on-trade. This is benefitting organic operating margin, despite rising inflationary pressures, which are partly due to supply chain constraints. We expect organic net sales growth of at least 16% in the first half of fiscal 22 and organic operating profit growth ahead of organic net sales growth. We expect the strong growth momentum in the first half of fiscal 22 to continue through the remainder of the fiscal year. However, in the second half of fiscal 22 we will be lapping a tougher comparator.”

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