Category Archives: Economic Outlook

Economy Watch:  Leading Economic Index Rises in July after 2 Declines

Posted on August 22, 2019 by Joel Whitaker

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.5 percent in July to 112.2 (2016 = 100), following a 0.1 percent decline in June, and a 0.1 percent decline in May. “The US LEI increased in July, following back-to-back … Continue reading →

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Economy Watch: Leading Economic Indicators Signal Slow Growth in 2d Half

Posted on July 18, 2019 by Joel Whitaker

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.3% in June to 111.5 (2016 = 100), following no change in May, and a 0.1% increase in April. “The US LEI fell in June, the first decline since … Continue reading →

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Economy Watch: Tariffs Trim Consumer Confidence

Posted on July 2, 2019 by Donna Whitaker

June’s small overall decline in consumer confidence was entirely due to households with incomes in the top third of the distribution, who more frequently mentioned the negative impact of tariffs—cited

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Economy Watch: More Signs of a Slowdown in Employment Growth

Posted on June 11, 2019 by Donna Whitaker

Reporting in January on the National Association of Wholesaler-Distributors annual Executive Summit, we noted

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Economy Watch: Private Sector Employment Rose 213,000 Jobs

Posted on February 1, 2019 by Donna Whitaker

Private sector employment increased by 213,000 jobs from December to January according to the January ADP National Employment Report.

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Why Recession Talk is Premature

Posted on January 7, 2019 by Donna Whitaker

The stock market’s wild gyrations in recent weeks have led some to assert the U.S. is on the verge of a recession.  A recession would be

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